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[기고] 에너지경제신문

에너지가격 민감도 분석, 기존 시스템과 경쟁 가능 시나리오 필요

http://www.inews.org/Snews/articleshow.php?Domain=eenews&No=17967

새로운 열시스템이 개발되고 실제의 주택에 적용되는 경우 충분한 평가가 수반되어야 한다.

소형 열병합발전에 의한 냉·난방 및 전기생산 시스템은 기존의 어떠한 냉·난방 방식보다 복잡한 구조를 취하게 된다. 시스템을 구성하는 요소설비의 수도 많지만 이를 유기적으로 연결하여 통합 운전하는 제어부는 고도의 기술력을 요하게 된다.

따라서 각각의 구성요소가 우수한 성능을 보여도 시스템 전체의 원활한 운전을 보장하는 것은 아니다. 적용되는 건물의 용도에 따라서도 운전조건이 달라질 수밖에 없으므로 실험실 수준에서의 테스트로는 실제상황에서 발생할 다양한 트러블을 예측하기 어렵다.

실측된 운전데이터가 충분치 않은 상태에서의 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션도 보조적인 수단에 불과하므로 결국 아파트 단지 등에 설치된 시스템을 대상으로 계측을 통해 검증하는 것이 필수적으로 요구된다.

이러한 이유로 시공 후 이루어지는 시운전은 향후 시스템 경제성 확보에 매우 중요한 단서를 제공한다. 시운전의 순서는 설치검사 → 각 배관의 flushing, 연료공급, 윤활유보급, 냉각수 급수, 시험용 물탱크 조립 등 시운전준비 → 정지 저항시험, 절연저항, 내력시험, 계전기시험 등 발전기운전 예비시험 → 보조장치시험, 시퀀스시험, 거버너시험, 동기시험, 부하시험, 부하특성시험, 매연측정 등 발전기 운전시험 → 한전과 병렬운전 시험 등으로 구성된다. 이상의 시험이 완료된 후 최종적으로 열부하 시험을 하여 종합적인 시스템의 문제점을 파악하게 된다.

가스엔진 열병합발전 시스템 각 계통의 기기가 최적의 성능을 발휘하기 위해서는 실시간 모니터링을 통한 제어가 매우 중요하다. 주요 구성요소인 가스엔진, 열교환기, 냉동기, 발전기 등에 온도, 유량, 전력량 센서 등을 부착하고 계측장비 및 컴퓨터를 이용하여 실시간으로 모니터링할 수 있도록 시스템을 구성하게 된다.

대부분의 데이터는 일정시간 간격으로 연속적으로 계측하게 되나 변동폭이 거의 없는 데이터는 간헐적으로 체크할 수 있도록 시스템 구성 전에 충분한 검토가 필요하다. 또 건물측에 대해서도 쾌적한 실내 환경의 유지를 확인하기 위해 실내 온습도, 벽체온도, 공급열량 등을 동시에 측정해야만 이후의 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션의 검증자료로 유용하게 활용할 수 있다.

TRNSYS와 같은 전문 에너지 시뮬레이션 소프트웨어를 통해 실증 실험에서 임의로 변경하기 어려운 조건들을 변화시켜 가면서 시스템을 종합적으로 평가하게 된다. 이 단계에서 시뮬레이션 결과의 신뢰성이 관건이 된다.

즉 정확한 운전시뮬레이션이 되기 위해서는 각 구성요소에 대한 타당성 있는 모델링이 필수적이며 이에 대한 검증은 바로 실측된 운전 데이터와 비교를 통해 이루어진다.

운전시뮬레이션을 통해 연료사용량, 생산된 전기량, 공급된 냉·난방 에너지양 등을 예측한다. 이를 타 방식에 의한 결과와 비교함으로써 에너지의 절감양 및 금액을 산출하게 된다.

생애주기비용 분석(Life Cycle cost Analysis)을 통해 이와 같은 경제성 분석을 수행한다. 여기에는 금리 및 물가변동율 등을 전부 포함한다.

최종적으로 최근의 에너지가격을 기준으로 한 에너지 절감액이 산출되나 필요한 경우 불확실한 향후 변동율에 대한 민감도 분석을 수행하며 기존의 시스템과 경쟁 가능한 시나리오를 구성하게 된다.

만약 경쟁력이 크지 않으면 적절한 정부지원금의 규모 등을 제시하게 되며 초기 투자회수기간이 합리적인 값이 되도록 조정할 필요가 있다.

열병합발전 시스템은 발생한 전력과 열 에너지가 유효하게 사용될 때에 경제성을 확보할 수 있다. 그러나 언급한 여러 가지 고려사항과 운전기법은 세심한 주의가 필요하기 때문에 관리자들의 전문성
이 요구된다. 이에 대한 인건비 부담이 클 것으로 생각된다.

따라서 수요처의 기후적 특성과 에너지 소비패턴 등의 요소가 충분
히 반영된 부하추종운전이 이루어져야 한다. 이에 따른 열병합발전 시스템의 자동운전이 가능해야 한다. 아울러 시스템의 이상징후 발생 시 적절한 조치를 취할 수 있는 통제시스템 개발도 향후 소형 열병합발전 시스템의 경제성 확보를 위해 반드시 이루어져야 한다.

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